Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.1%
St Truiden
25.7%
Draw
28.1%
Mechelen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
St Truiden
vs
1.23
Mechelen
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
6.4%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).