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13 Sept 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.1%
Forest Green
24.7%
Draw
31.2%
Scunthorpe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.77

Forest Green

vs
1.47

Scunthorpe

Markets

BTTS64.7%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
4.9%
0-0
4.8%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).