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DHT: 10CSV

16 Mar 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.3%
Burgos
31.4%
Draw
37.4%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Burgos

vs
1.01

Levante

Markets

BTTS37.6%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.556.8%
Over 2.529.9%
Over 3.512.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.1%
0-0
14.7%
1-0
13.4%
1-1
13.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).