Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.9%
Deportivo Alavés
27.9%
Draw
39.1%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Deportivo Alavés
vs
1.28
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.0%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).