Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.4%
Dresden
25.8%
Draw
44.9%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Dresden
vs
1.70
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS61.6%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
0-1
7.0%
0-2
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.8%
1-0
5.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).