Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.0%
Casa Pia
20.6%
Draw
46.5%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Casa Pia
vs
2.02
Estoril
Markets
BTTS70.2%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.571.5%
Over 3.550.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.5%
1-1
8.0%
2-2
7.1%
2-1
7.0%
1-3
5.7%
0-1
5.4%
0-2
5.0%
2-3
4.8%
1-0
4.5%
3-2
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
2-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).