Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Padova
32.3%
Draw
29.3%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Padova
vs
0.97
Brescia
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.3%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).