Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Cambridge
30.4%
Draw
25.9%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Cambridge
vs
0.76
Exeter
Markets
BTTS35.0%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.555.0%
Over 2.528.6%
Over 3.511.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
0-0
15.0%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
12.4%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
5.0%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).