Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.1%
Chateauroux
22.6%
Draw
52.3%
Guingamp
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Chateauroux
vs
1.65
Guingamp
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.1%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
0-3
5.0%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).