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AHT: 10

04 Oct 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.5%
Sampdoria
33.5%
Draw
29.0%
Juve Stabia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Sampdoria

vs
0.91

Juve Stabia

Markets

BTTS40.7%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.0%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.4%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).