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06 Apr 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.1%
Hearts
19.7%
Draw
10.2%
Dundee United

Expected Goals (xG)

2.09

Hearts

vs
0.67

Dundee United

Markets

BTTS43.1%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.9%
1-0
12.8%
3-0
9.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
5.0%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).