Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Watford
31.3%
Draw
24.0%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Watford
vs
0.85
Oxford
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
1-1
14.1%
0-0
13.4%
2-0
9.6%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).