Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.5%
Bari
32.5%
Draw
31.0%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Bari
vs
1.00
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.5%
1-0
12.1%
0-1
10.8%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).