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AHT: 01

25 Aug 2024 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.6%
Hoddesdon Town
25.8%
Draw
57.6%
Rosenborg

Expected Goals (xG)

0.67

Hoddesdon Town

vs
1.51

Rosenborg

Markets

BTTS37.8%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
2.9%
2-0
2.5%
0-4
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).