Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.1%
Birmingham
29.9%
Draw
25.0%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Birmingham
vs
0.94
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).