Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Hartberg
29.4%
Draw
25.9%
WSG Tirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Hartberg
vs
0.97
WSG Tirol
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
10.7%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).