⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 10CSV

06 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
17.7%
Sandhausen
25.4%
Draw
56.9%
Paderborn

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Sandhausen

vs
1.76

Paderborn

Markets

BTTS49.9%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).