Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.2%
Mainz
15.2%
Draw
75.6%
Bayern Munich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Mainz
vs
2.74
Bayern Munich
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.570.5%
Over 3.549.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.9%
0-3
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
1-3
8.1%
1-1
6.9%
0-1
6.8%
0-4
6.2%
1-4
5.6%
2-2
4.0%
2-3
3.6%
0-5
3.4%
0-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).