Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.8%
Rotherham
24.6%
Draw
30.7%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Rotherham
vs
1.10
Burton
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.0%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).