Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.6%
Estoril
17.3%
Draw
19.1%
Casa Pia
Expected Goals (xG)
2.53
Estoril
vs
1.34
Casa Pia
Markets
BTTS67.7%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.574.3%
Over 3.554.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.6%
1-0
5.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
4-0
3.6%
4-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).