⚽ FootballData
0 – 3
AHT: 01CSV

18 Apr 2021 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
22.4%
Osnabruck
29.2%
Draw
48.4%
Fortuna Dusseldorf

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Osnabruck

vs
1.44

Fortuna Dusseldorf

Markets

BTTS46.7%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
10.8%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).