Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
Extremadura UD
28.6%
Draw
33.9%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Extremadura UD
vs
1.08
Girona
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.5%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).