Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.7%
AFC Wimbledon
26.5%
Draw
24.8%
Willenhall Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.90
Willenhall Town
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
9.8%
0-0
9.7%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).