Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.4%
Burnley
24.5%
Draw
53.1%
Newcastle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Burnley
vs
1.97
Newcastle
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.540.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.8%
0-1
6.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.4%
0-3
5.2%
2-3
4.0%
1-0
3.6%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).