Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.6%
Exeter
27.2%
Draw
43.2%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Exeter
vs
1.19
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.4%
1-0
12.2%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).