Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.2%
Arbroath
26.0%
Draw
23.8%
Cove Rangers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Arbroath
vs
1.07
Cove Rangers
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).