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DHT: 10CSV

30 Mar 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.3%
Giannina
29.4%
Draw
41.3%
Panetolikos

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Giannina

vs
1.35

Panetolikos

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
0-1
10.4%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).