Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.0%
Inter
14.5%
Draw
8.5%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55
Inter
vs
0.72
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.3%
3-0
10.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
6.9%
4-0
6.7%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
3.7%
5-0
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
0-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).