Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →93.5%
Sp Lisbon
4.7%
Draw
1.7%
Portimonense
Expected Goals (xG)
3.91
Sp Lisbon
vs
0.48
Portimonense
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.593.2%
Over 2.581.2%
Over 3.563.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.4%
4-0
12.2%
2-0
9.6%
5-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-1
5.8%
1-0
5.0%
2-1
4.6%
5-1
4.5%
1-1
2.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-2
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).