Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Salernitana
33.6%
Draw
28.8%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Salernitana
vs
0.90
Cesena
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.531.7%
Over 3.513.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.2%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.5%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).