Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.0%
Harrogate
28.9%
Draw
44.1%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Harrogate
vs
1.18
Accrington
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.559.4%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.1%
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).