Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.6%
Rotherham
21.7%
Draw
66.6%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Rotherham
vs
1.97
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.5%
0-1
13.0%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
8.8%
0-0
7.6%
1-3
6.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).