Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.7%
Valencia
26.0%
Draw
27.3%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Valencia
vs
1.14
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).