Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.2%
Newport County
24.5%
Draw
42.3%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Newport County
vs
1.46
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.0%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).