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03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.2%
Wythenshawe Amateurs
23.8%
Draw
41.0%
Pilkington

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Wythenshawe Amateurs

vs
1.53

Pilkington

Markets

BTTS58.7%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
1-0
7.8%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.2%
0-0
5.0%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).