Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.1%
Parma
24.4%
Draw
13.5%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Parma
vs
0.72
Brescia
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.0%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
4-0
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).