Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.3%
Accrington
21.3%
Draw
61.4%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Accrington
vs
1.76
Charlton
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-0
7.1%
0-0
7.0%
1-3
5.6%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).