Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.2%
Runcorn Linnets
21.7%
Draw
12.1%
Buxton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Runcorn Linnets
vs
0.59
Buxton
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.1%
2-0
14.8%
1-1
9.6%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
8.7%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).