Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.0%
Yeovil
19.3%
Draw
71.6%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Yeovil
vs
2.16
Notts County
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.1%
0-1
12.4%
0-3
10.2%
1-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
6.8%
1-3
6.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-4
3.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
2-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).