Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.4%
Guingamp
23.8%
Draw
23.8%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Guingamp
vs
0.92
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).