Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.8%
Southend
15.7%
Draw
6.5%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
2.47
Southend
vs
0.60
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.1%
3-0
11.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
7.2%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-0
3.6%
2-2
2.6%
0-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).