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18 May 2025 · 13:00

Cadiz

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.7%
Ferrol
29.9%
Draw
48.4%
Cadiz

Expected Goals (xG)

0.71

Ferrol

vs
1.22

Cadiz

Markets

BTTS35.6%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.557.2%
Over 2.530.3%
Over 3.513.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.9%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-0
10.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
4.5%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
0-4
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).