Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.0%
Exeter
23.6%
Draw
59.4%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Exeter
vs
1.55
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.8%
0-2
13.0%
1-1
10.4%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
2.6%
2-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).