Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.2%
Ascoli
32.5%
Draw
44.3%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Ascoli
vs
1.21
Monza
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
0-0
14.7%
1-1
14.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
5.2%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).