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AHT: 03

05 Oct 2025 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.8%
Panathinaikos
21.0%
Draw
15.2%
Värnamo

Expected Goals (xG)

2.24

Panathinaikos

vs
1.03

Värnamo

Markets

BTTS58.3%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.541.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
3-0
7.1%
2-2
5.0%
0-0
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
4-1
4.1%
4-0
4.0%
3-2
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).