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28 Aug 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.3%
Kidderminster
32.4%
Draw
34.3%
Maidenhead

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Kidderminster

vs
1.05

Maidenhead

Markets

BTTS43.0%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.6%
0-1
12.0%
1-0
11.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
7.0%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
0-3
2.4%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).