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14 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.2%
Bromsgrove Sporting
17.5%
Draw
43.3%
Bottesford Town

Expected Goals (xG)

2.61

Bromsgrove Sporting

vs
2.73

Bottesford Town

Markets

BTTS86.5%
Over 0.599.6%
Over 1.596.9%
Over 2.590.1%
Over 3.578.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-2
6.1%
2-3
5.5%
3-2
5.3%
3-3
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-1
4.5%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.9%
2-4
3.8%
4-2
3.5%
1-1
3.3%
3-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).