Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →3.5%
Leicester
12.3%
Draw
84.2%
Arsenal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
Leicester
vs
2.80
Arsenal
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.541.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.6%
0-3
13.7%
0-1
9.7%
0-4
9.6%
1-2
7.1%
1-3
6.7%
1-1
5.8%
0-5
5.4%
1-4
4.7%
0-0
4.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).