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AHT: 11CSV

18 Feb 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.4%
Wrexham
19.6%
Draw
13.1%
Leyton Orient

Expected Goals (xG)

1.87

Wrexham

vs
0.65

Leyton Orient

Markets

BTTS39.8%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.8%
2-0
14.0%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
9.0%
3-0
8.8%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).