Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.6%
Man United
25.1%
Draw
25.4%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Man United
vs
1.33
Leeds
Markets
BTTS64.0%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.3%
3-0
4.5%
3-2
4.0%
0-1
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).